Top 5 Thursday Night Football Plays for Week 6

What is UP GRINDERS!?!!?

We are on a newsletter heater going 11-3 on our last 14 main props (not including the long odds first TD plays) and we are back to Thursday Night Football where we had a SWEEP last week.

And boy oh boy do I have some fire plays for the game tonight that you can take with this deals:

Chalkboard has an Isiah Pacheco Over 0.5 Rush Yards Free Square you can not miss out on

And Underdog has a Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Total Yards Free Square for new users!

I give out most of my plays on these two apps so definitely join them with code CARUSO (same referral code for all apps) to take advantage of the free money they are giving out tonight. These are how I would play them:

Chalkboard: Isiah Pacheco Over 0.5 Total Yards, Marvin Mims Over 18.5 Receiving Yards

Underdog: Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Total Yards, Javonte Williams Under 7.55 Fantasy Score

And make sure to use Pikkit to see every single bet and parlay I take every game (its where I track all my bets publicly and you can copy them right from the app).

But it is time for the best plays for Thursday Night Starting with the

Mojo Play of the Day: Isiah Pacheco First TD +600 (Mojo)

This is a big blowup spot for Pacheco. The Broncos have allowed four straight RB1s to score 22+ Fantasy Points against them and Pacheco has a TD in three straight games and now gets the best matchup he will see all season. The Broncos offense is terrible and the weather is bad which hurts QBs/WRs in this matchup which all points to Pacheco finding his way into the end zone first.

Mojo has the best odds of any book I can find for the first TD Prop right now and I will give someone who tails $200 if this hits and you reply to this email showing you tailed!.

Other Plays I Love:

Jerick McKinnon O 2.0 Receptions (Underdog, Chalkboard)

A RB has covered vs the Broncos in every single game this year and 2+ RBs have covered in the SAME GAME in 3 of 5 games so far. The Broncos also run cover 3 on half of their snaps and McKinnon has the highest target rate on the team vs cover 3 at 25%. The weather in this game is not great which may favor more short and intermediate throws to the RBs.

Patrick Mahomes Under 21.5 Rush Yards (Underdog, Chalkboard)

Mahomes has gone over this number in just 2/10 career starts with the Broncos and has been at 12 or less rushing yards in all 8 games he went under. His only games he went over were both in one possession games and this game has blow out written all over it. The Broncos also allowed 4 or less rush attempts to every QB except Jimmy G who had 9 carries for 11 yards (WTF). They contain QBs well and this is a nice spot for Mahomes to hit a rushing under on a juiced line.

Marvin Mims Over 18.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog, Chalkboard, PrizePicks)

This has a chance to be Mims’ breakout game. His routes share has gone from 14 to 28 to 39% over the last 3 weeks and he leads the Broncos in receiving yards. The Chiefs play even rates of Cover 1, 2, 3, 6 across the board and Mims in a limited sample size has seen a 20% target rate vs these coverages and the team leader is Jerry Jeudy with 22%. This means Mims is as likely to see a target as anyone when on the field and he has covered in three of his last four games with his only miss vs the best secondary in football (Jets). There is a real chance this is his breakout game.

Javonte Williams Under 9.5 Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) but this is still a great line on Underdog at 7.55 with the scoring much lower in half PPR

The only time Javonte passed this total in 2023 was in Week 1 vs the Raiders. The Chiefs are favored by 11 points for this game and we don’t know if Javonte will see a significant workload with all of his injuries over the last few weeks and Jaleel McLaughlin has looked explosive and could see more work. The only danger with this line would be a TD but the Chiefs have allowed just one Rushing TD this whole year and Javonte has not had a receiving TD since Week 14 of 2021 with just 3 total in 25 career games. There are so many outs this week with injury, workload, and game script concerns that makes this line a great play.

That is all for Today.

All my plays for Sunday will be out Saturday at 3PM ET.

Until then,

Let’s Keep Grinding.

-Caruso