Top 5 Player Props for Thursday Night Football Week 7

WHAT IS UP GRINDERS!?!?!?

We are coming off ANOTHER BIG WINNING DAY on Monday and this is my favorite Thursday night game of the entire SEASON.

I have FIVE Plays I love today you need to take with these INSANE deals as it is FREE SQUARE BONANZA TODAY:

Make sure to use code CARUSO if new to any of these apps for a 100% deposit match and a free bet!

Underdog has THREE Free Squares

Travis Etienne Over 0.5 Total Yards (Live til 3pm ET, Pair with Olave Over 61.5 Receiving Yards)

Derek Carr Over 0.5 Total Yards for new users (Pair with Etienne Under Fantasy Score)

Lebron James Over 0.5 Points (Pair with Olave Over 61.5 Receiving Yards)

Chalkboard has a FREE Square

Alvin Kamara Over 0.5 Total Yards (Pair with Kirk Over 4.5 Receptions)

Sleeper has a FREE Square too

Alvin Kamara Over 0.5 Total Yards for new users (Pair with Kirk Over 4.5 Receptions)

These are all the easiest wins imaginable and today is THEE DAY to take advantage of all this free stuff on every single app.

As always I am tracking every bet I take on Pikkit, and now it is time to get into the plays of the day starting with the:

Mojo Play of the Day: Chris Olave First TD +871 (Mojo)

See Writeup Below, I will give one person who tails $300 if it hits and you tail on Mojo!

Chris Olave Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (Mojo, Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

Olave runs most of his routes on the outside and the Jaguars are the 2nd worst team vs outside WRs this year. The Jags also mainly run Cover 1, 3, 4 and Olave sees a target on 28% of his routes vs this coverage while being the most efficient player on the team vs these coverages. He also sees 43% of his teams air yards vs these coverage meaning he sees the majority of the intermediate and deep targets vs these coverages which means lots of yards. And outside of the Derek Carr injury game and the Patriots 30 point blow out, Olave has at least 86 receiving yards in the other four games.

Travis Etienne Under 16 Fantasy Score (Underdog, Sleeper, PrizePicks)

He is playing the Saints have not allowed a single TD rushing or receiving to RBs yet. They only allow 3.5 yards per carry in the run game which is the 4th toughest in the league to go with the 7th least rushing yards. Their only weakness vs RBs is the receiving game but Etienne gets targeted on 6% of his routes vs man which saints run the 3rd most in the NFL. This is an extremely tough matchup for Etienne and if he does not score a TD it will be tough to cover this line.

Christian Kirk Over 4.5 Receptions (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

The Saints run the 3rd most man coverage which Kirk absolutely dominates against. He has a 32% Target Share vs man and in games vs the Chiefs and Falcons who run the 4th and 7th most man, Kirk had 14 and 12 receptions. The Saints outside corners are among the toughest in the NFL but the slot is where they really struggle and Kirk runs 68% of his routes from the slot. He is best suited to destroy the Saints of any player on the Jaguars

Derek Carr Over 31.5 Pass Attempts (Underdog, Chalkboard, PrizePicks)

This is a perfect game for Derek Carr. On the surface he has covered in 4/6 games this year but they were all tough matchups. Carr has 32+ Pass Attempts in 16 of his last 19 games where he plays a below average pass defense. His 3 misses were 30, 30, 31. He has not been lower than 30 pass attempts vs a bottom half pass defense since Week 10 of 2020 which means this is a really good place for him to hit this line vs a struggling defense. The Jaguars also allow the 7th most pass attempts vs the 26th most rush attempts showing teams know they struggle vs the pass anyway. Great play to pair with Olave today.

That is all for today! I hope you all enjoy free square bonanza, I put my bets on all of these already.

More plays to come on Thursday!

Until that time,

Lets Keep Grinding!

-Caruso