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Top 5 Player Props for Sunday Week 6
WHAT IS UP GRINDERS!?!?!?
We are on a 11-3 run on newsletter props over the last 3 NFL Game Days and I have been spending the last 2 days in the lab sorting through 100+ plays to find my favorites for today.
After all the research, I am left with my 5 Favorite Plays for Sunday that you should be taking with these sweet deals: (Best Day of these in a WHILE)
Underdog is giving out THREE Free Squares Sunday for new users:
Joe Burrow Over 0.5 Total Yards (Play with St Brown Over 8.0 Targets)
Josh Allen Over 0.5 Total Yards (Play with Jake Elliot Over 1.5 FGs)
Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 Total Yards (Play with St Brown Over 8.0 Targets)
Sleeper is giving out a MASSIVE Discount you should take:
Ja’Marr Chase 80.5 Rec Yards to 72.5 Rec Yards (Play with Pittman Over 5.5 Receptions)
PrizePicks is also giving out 2 Huge Discounts:
Tua Tagovailoa 273.5 Pass Yards to 249.5 Pass Yards (Play with Jake Elliott Over 1.5 FGs)
Lamar Jackson 225.5 Pass Yards to 197.5 Pass Yards (Play with Pittman Over 5.5 Receptions)
If you are not on these apps, NOW is the time with discounts and promos this big. All the discounts hit at close to an 80% rate and the free squares are easy ways to win more cash.
Use code CARUSO if you are new to signing up for any of these! They will all give you a 100% Deposit Match Bonus when you start and is the best way to support me so I can keep all of my content free forever
As always, I am tracking every public bet I am taking on Pikkit if you want to tail me or track your own bets.
But now onto the good stuff starting with the:
The Panthrs run Cover 3 on 53% of their snaps which is Waddle’s best coverage on top of the Panthers missing their #1 CB Jaycee Horn on Sunday. DrProfit noted that Tua has hit in 10/12 games with Tua, 13/15 wins with Tua and 10/11 wins with Tua and Tyreek. This is a prime bounceback spot for Waddle who is due for one of his signature explosive plays on Sunday
Other Plays I Love:
Evan Engram Over 4.5 Receptions (Underdog, Sleeper, PrizePicks)
Engram sees a target on 29% of his routes vs Cover 3 without Zay Jones on the field and the Colts run Cover 3 at the highest rate in the league. The Colts also run single high 66% of the time and Engran has a 28% first read share vs single high which leads the team. He has seen 5+ receptions in four of five games and his only miss was last week where he saw 4 catches on 8 targets. This is a great spot for him.
Michael Pittman Over 5.5 Receptions (Underdog, Sleeper, PrizePicks)
This is a prime matchup vs the Jaguars who Pittman put up 8 receptions for 97 receiving yards against them in Week 1. The Jags also run over 50% Cover 3 where Pittman thrives with a 30% target share and 2.30 yards per route run. He also sees a big increase in target rate with Minshew at QB and the Jaguars are the 2nd worst team vs outside WRs and Pittman plays almost exclusively on the outside.
Jake Elliot Over 1.5 FG (Underdog, PrizePicks)
Elliott has covered this line every game this year and every kicker to play the Jets has also gone over. The Eagles have a horrible red zone offense and are playing one of the toughest red zone defenses in the league. The Jets have allowed the 2nd most total points and has not missed for Elliott or the Jets this entire season at a combined 10/10 on this Over.
Amon-Ra St Brown Over 8.0 Targets (Underdog)
This was almost my play of the day. St Brown has seen 8+ Targets in 95% of his games where he played 80% or more snaps and the Bucs run Cover 3 on 45% of his snaps where St Brown sees a target on 29% of his routes but it gets BETTER. The Bucs blitz 41% of the time and St Brown sees a target on 35% of his routes vs the Blitz which is the 2nd highest rate in the NFL. My injury sources tell me he should be full go this weekend and Jahmyr Gibbs OUT + Sam LaPorta being hurt only helps his case. Teams also pass 70% of the time vs the Bucs which is the highest rate in the NFL which helps St Brown’s case even more to see the volume.
If anyone wants more Sports Betting goodness, I would highly suggest the Prop Drop newsletter for more help cashing your bets.
But that is all for now. NOTE: There will be a Sunday Morning Update at exactly 10am ET on any extra props, news, etc that you need to know. That is my best email of the week, do not miss it!
Until that time,
Lets. Keep. Grinding.
-Caruso