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Top 5 Player Props for Sunday Week 5
Alex Caruso
October 07, 2023
WHAT IS UP GRINDERS!?!?!
We are coming off a 5-0 SWEEP on Thursday, and anyone who tailed profited beyond belief. One subscriber even made $16K on Thursday which is insanity.
I have spent every waking moment in the lab since Thursday to try to give you all dynamite plays so we can get BACK TO BACK sweeps. And the plays I found are unbelievable today.
Reminder always use code CARUSO when you sign up for these apps so I can get a laptop that doesn’t sound like an industrial fan every time I turn it on (its five years old).
But before we get into these plays make sure to take the promo of the day.
Underdog has TWO FREE SQUARES for Sunday (for new users)
Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Total Yards (Pair with Puka O 5.0 Receptions)
Tua Tagovailoa Over 0.5 Total Yards (Pair with Breece O 12.5 rush attempts)
These are dynamite ways to start building up money in your Underdog account especially with plays today starting with the:
The Giants have allowed the 4th most rushing yard in the league and the 3rd most attempts to RBs. Achane played 66% of the snaps last week and the 11 point favorite for the Dolphins favors game script to go their way even more. Achane leads the NFL in percentage of runs for 10+ yards and is forcing a missed tackle on 58% of his touches. We will play him everyday until the books get on him.
Breece Hall Over 12.5 rush attempts (Underdog, PrizePicks)
Every single RB1 against the Broncos had at least 18+ rush attempts and the Broncos have the worst run defense in the entire league. Jets head coach Robert Saleh said Breece is no longer on a snap count meanwhile Dalvin Cook has been beyond awful. This is a perfect spot for Breece against a run defense that has more holes than a slice of swiss cheese.
Ja”Marr Chase Over 77.5 receiving yards (Underdog, Sleeper, PrizePicks)
The Bengals just elevated a WR from the practice squad to the active roster which means Tee Higgins is out. Chase sees a target on 31% of his routes with Higgins off the field compared to 24% when both are on the field. Beyond this, the Cardinals run about 60% Cover 3+4 and Chase sees a 42% air yards share and 29% target share versus these coverages and no other teammate has above an 11% target share vs these schemes (besids Higgins who is out). His primary coverage will be Marco Wilson who has been a been a bottom 10 corner in the league and has allowed a ton of big plays (Cardinals allow 4th highest yards per reception). This is a perfect get right spot for Chase.
Brock Purdy Over 2.5 rush attempts (Underdog, PrizePicks)
Every QB has at least 3 rush attempts vs the Cowboys and Purdy has covered this line 75% of the time vs the Cowboys. The reason every QB has covered is Dallas has the highest pressure rate in the league which forces QBs outside the pocket. There is also another out where if the 49ers kneel at all, Purdy gets another rush attempt boost there. Too many reasons to be in on this play this week.
Puka Nacua Over 5.0 Receptions (Underdog)
Puka has at least 5 catches in every game with 9+ receptions in 3 of 4 games and the Eagles run Cover 1, 3, 6 on over 80% of their snaps where Puka sees a target on 30% of his routes versus these coverages. Stafford’s attempts line is at 37.5 which means Puka would be projected for over 10+ targets. Obviously, Cooper Kupp is back but if he is at all limited, Puka should smash this over.
As always, I track every public bet on Pikkit if you want to see all my slips.
These are all the plays for now, I will be sending out another email tomorrow morning at 10am ET (3 hours before first slate with any extra plays before kickoffs and an extra surprise for all of you)
Until that time,
Lets. Keep. Grinding.
-Caruso