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Top 5 Player Props for Monday Night Football Week 6
WHAT IS UP GRINDERS!?!??!?!
We just had a GREAT Sunday Slate going 4-2 on our official plays bringing us to a 15-5 run over the last four game days (75% Win Rate) and we are on absolute fire right now.
This is also the best primetime matchup we have seen in a while and I have been in the lab all day finding the best plays tonight and I am so excited about what I found.
All these plays you should be taking with these fire deals:
Underdog is giving out TWO Free Squares:
Justin Herbert Over 0.5 Total Yards is live til 3:30pm ET! Pair with Pollard O93.5 Rush + Receiving (This is only live for one hour)
Dak Prescott Over 0.5 Total Yards (Pair with Herbert Rushing Yards) This one is for new users only, Herbert for everyone
You should get BOTH free squares if you sign up in time!
Chalkboard discounted THREE Lines today with no betting limit on any:
Tony Pollard 69.5 to 62.5 Rush Yards (Play with Quentin Johnston Over 30.5 Receiving Yards)
Austin Ekeler 51.5 to 44.5 Rush Yards (Play with Lamb Over 72.5 Receiving Yards)
Dak Prescott 258.5 to 245.5 Pass Yards (Play with Herbert Over 10.5 Rush Yards)
These are all correlated plays I all placed a slip on for tonight. Use code CARUSO if new to Underdog, Chalkboard, Sleeper or any other app. Its the best way to support me so I can keep this work free.
As always, every bet I take is tracked on Pikkit! (Free Bet Tracking App). Now let’s talk about our official plays starting with the:
Mojo Play of the Day: Ceedee Lamb ANYTIME TD + 104 (Mojo)
Read below on Lamb Receiving Yards. Perfect matchup, Gamescript and Narrative for Lamb to find the end zone this week.
Ceedee Lamb Over 72.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog, Chalkboard, Sleeper)
He spoke openly all week about his struggles and had a special meeting with just him and Dak according to their differences. Lamb also has a 27% target rate vs the chargers main coverages and is playing the #1 WORST team vs WRs this year which opens the door for another Lamb explosion. No team has allowed more receptions of 15+ yards than the Chargers and the added narrative of Dak and Lamb needing to break through plays right into this game. The Chargers also let Tyreek go for 200+, Justin Jefferson for 150+ and Davante Adams for 75 receiving yards in their four games so far.
The Chargers are a bottom 10 run defense giving up a ton of yards which fits perfectly with Pollard averaging over 22 touches per game. Also, no team is allowing more targets and receptions per game to RBs than the Chargers this season. Across the Chargers main coverages, Pollard has at least a 21% target rate versus these coverages. This is also projected to be a close game and Pollard saw his highest snap and route share of the season in his one game that was within 12 points in Week 3. He is going to see way more work than you think and get this cover.
Justin Herbert Over 10.5 Rush Yards (Underdog, Chalkboard)
Every QB except Brock Purdy had at least 3 rush attempts vs the Cowboys and Daniel Jones, Josh Dobbs, and Zach Wilson all had 36+ rush yards while Mac Jones and Brock Purdy each had 7 or less but are absolute statues. Dallas has the highest pressure rate in the league which forces QBs outside the Pocket. Herbert also rushed for 11+ yards in 3 of 4 games and only missed vs the Titans who are a Top 5 team versus rushing QBs.
Quentin Johntson Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog, Chalkboard, Sleeper)
Johnston saw 70% of the routes in Week 4 and is expected to see an increase in work this week especially since Josh Palmer is banged up and was added late to the injury report with a groin injury. 45% of Johnston’s routes last week were deep and the Cowboys run more man and one deep safety coverage than any team in the NFL which means Johnston should see plenty of 1v1 coverage that he can expose and one connection on those heavy deep routes with a banged up Josh Palmer could help this line cover.
That is all for today!
More plays to come on Thursday for TNF!
Until that time,
LETS KEEP GRINDING.