Top 5 NFL Player Props for Sunday

WHAT UP GRINDERS!??!

We are currently on a 17-2 HEATER on Main Plays right now. Every pick has been fully En Fuego and I have been sitting at my computer being your little prop monkey endlessly for the last two days to find the BEST plays possible.

I have five more FIRE Plays today cooked up for you all.

Reminder: Use code CARUSO when you sign up for these new apps so I can stop eating Wendys 4for4 meals approximately 9x per week.

Housekeeping out of the way and NOW it is time to put our chef hats on and COOK starting with:

The Mojo Prop of the Day: James Conner Under 56.5 Rush Yards (Mojo)

The Cardinals play the blow out city every single week Cowboys that have the toughest run defense in the NFL so far. The spread in this game has Dallas as 13 point favorites and the lead RB against them had 51 and 9 rush yards so far. The Cardinals have been close in every game which allowed much more work for Conner but this is not that week.

Travis Etienne Over 68.5 Rush Yards (Mojo, ParlayPlay)

Etienne has 70+ rush yards in six straight games vs bottom 10 run defenses not named Kansas City. He is also handling almost 80% of the Jaguars rush attempts this year and is playing a brutal Texans run defense that has given up the MOST rush yards per game to RBs since the start of 2022. This line is only this low because Etienne had a poor game vs the Chiefs when he was dealing with cramps but should be much better this week.

Jahmyr Gibbs O 3.5 Receptions (PrizePicks, Underdog)

Gibbs was targeted on 43% of his routes with 9 targets last week and ran a route on 59% of the teams routes last week and is expected to see an even bigger role this week with David Montgomery out. Lions WR1 Amon-Ra St Brown is also banged up which means this is going to be a huge week for Gibbs.

Tyreek Hill 6.5 Receptions (PrizePicks, Underdog, ParlayPlay)

Hill has been 28% better vs man than zone and the Broncos play the 6th highest rate of man. Hill also has a 43% target rate when Jaylen Waddle is off the field and Waddle is still in concussion protocol (24% of WRs miss 0 weeks with concussion). Even if Waddle plays, the Broncos have had one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL so far and Hill will largely avoid Patrick Surtain who has shadowed on only 48% of his snaps so far.

TJ Hockenson O 5.0 Receptions (Underdog)

Hock has hit 5+ receptions in 10 of his last 12 games over 50% of the snaps and is seeing a 23% target per route run vs the Chargers main coverages. Kirk Cousins line for pass attempts is 38.5 x Hock’s 23% TPRR= 9 targets. Hock has hit 5+ catches in 100% of his games as a Viking when he sees just 7 or more targets. This is an easy over in a game with the highest point total of the week.

Bonus: Phantasia is giving away a Free Entry if you use code: DUCKS

As always with any of these plays, tail at your own risk.

That is all for now, more plays to come Monday morning before the TWO Monday Night Football Games.

Until that time,

Lets. Keep. Grinding.

-Caruso