Best Week 3 Monday Night Football Props

What up GRINDERS!?!??!?!

Another Winning Day on Newsletter Plays brining us to a 22-4 run on these plays over the last week and a half. Beyond that, we went 3-0 on the No Limit Chalkboard Promo Plays.

Which brings us to today. Chalkboard let us walk all over them yesterday and they did it again today giving us THREE Discounted lines you need to take advantage of.

Puka Nacua 71.5 Rec Yards, now its 64.5 Rec Yards

DeVonta Smith 61.5 Rec Yards, now its 56.5 Rec yards

Mike Evans 60.5 Rec Yards, now its 51.5 Rec Yards

These 10%+ discounts picks typically hit at about an 80% Rate on other apps but Chalkboard has an extra bonus you probably didn’t realize….

They have NO LIMITS on these plays. Meaning you could put any amount of money on these picks. I will list my Chalkboard plays at the bottom of this once again but now its time for the main card for today:

Note: As always please use code CARUSO when signing up for these apps so I can move out of a building with no washing machine :)

And even with our crazy run, tail at your own risk starting with the

Mojo Play of the Day: AJ Brown First TD +827 (Mojo)

This is the AJ Brown bounce back game. Last year after 0 catches for DeVonta Smith, the Eagles fed him next week and this year after Dallas Goedert had 0 catches, they fed him the next week. Now, after AJ Brown’s sideline blowup he will get fed vs a defense he thrives against. The Bucs run 66% Cover 3+4. AJ Brown when facing these coverages over the last year has a 30% Target Share, 42% Air Yards Share and a team high 2.30 yards per route run vs these coverages. Its time for him to score his first TD of the year.

As always if this hits, I will give tails on Mojo $300 as a giveaway. Just reply to this with a screenshot that you tailed.

Other Plays I Love:

AJ Brown Over 70.5 Rec Yards (Mojo, Chalkboard, Underdog, Sleeper)

All of the above remains the same and this feels like the perfect time for AJB to finally get back on track.

Chris Godwin O5.0 Receptions (Sleeper, Underdog)

The Eagles play Cover 3+6 on 66% of their snaps. Godwin and Evans see near equal target rates vs this coverage but the X factor is Baker Mayfield. He throws for just 6.6 yards per attempt vs these coverages compared to 7.6 vs all others. And Godwin operates in a much more shallow area of the field than Evans which favors this to be a shorter passing type game from Mayfield. Not to mention Godwin has 5+ catches in 17 straight games. Hammer this line

Cade Otton O2.5 Receptions (Sleeper, Underdog)

No team gave up more receptions to TEs the first two weeks than the Eagles who have two awful coverage LBs on their starting defense. Cade Otton is playing over 90% of the snaps and Otton has just a 4.4 average depth of target vs Cover 3+6 which Eagles run the most. As mentioned above, this is where Baker likes to target the most vs these coverages. Otton’s snap rate + target area of the field + Eagles awful TE defense all favor Otton finding a way over even with little yardage.

Puka Nacua 6.0 Receptions (Underdog)

Puka has had 15 and 20 targets in two games so far with 9 and 10 receptions. Although a small sample size he has a 46% target rate vs Cover 1+3 which the Bengals run 66% of their snaps compared to a 39% target rate vs other coverages. The only reason this line is low is the same oblique injury he played through last week to the tune of 20 targets. There is no reason to doubt him now with such a low line.

Chalkboard Promo Plays: CB does not have receptions yet but these are the best picks they have to pair with the promos!

Play 1:

Puka Nacua Over 64.5 Receiving Yards

Tee Higgins Over 67.5 Receiving Yards

Play 2:

DeVonta Smith Over 56.5 Rec Yards

Chris Godwin Over 58.5 Rec Yards

Play 3:

Mike Evans Over 51.5 Rec Yards

AJ Brown Over 70.5 Rec Yards

That is all for now!

More Props to come on Thursday for the Lions/Packers game

Until that time,

Lets Keep Grinding.

-Caruso