Best Week 2 Player Props

WE ARE COMING OFF A 4-0 SWEEP BABY!

Yes, it is absolutely a sweep as the only play we “missed” was a +1600 first TD prop.

The regular props were undefeated and I have spent about 20 hours digging through every piece of research I could find for props this Sunday.

That being said lets get into the best props of the week and try for another sweep!

Promotions:

Tyreek Hill Over 0.5 Total Yards (Sleeper)

Code CARUSO will get you a 100% deposit match if you are new to player props on Sleeper. This is the EASIEST way to make money off of props is these free squares.

Mojo Play of the Day: Justin Herbert O25.5 Completions (Mojo) I think Mojo is the best place to take this prop by far. If Herbert starts hot, you can actually “sell” the prop before it even hits to make money on it and put that money back into a different prop you like LIVE even if its a prop in another game.

Herbert plays the Titans who have one of the worst secondaries in the NFL and just gave up completions to Derek Carr in Week 1. The Titans will be missing two starting DBs in Amani Hooker and Kristian Fulton and will force the Chargers to throw a crap ton this week. Passing yards is the popular prop for Herbert this week but when he hits his line of 285+ pass yards he has hit 26+ completions in 16/17 games over the last two seasons. His one miss was 25 completions.

Darren Waller vs ARI Over 4.0 Receptions (Mojo, Sleeper, PrizePicks,)

Cardinals ran Cover 4 at the highest rate in the NFL in Week 1 and TEs are 20% more likely to be targeted vs covr 4 than any other position. Daniel Jones has the highest completion percentage in the NFL vs this coverage since 2022. Waller was targeted on 22% of his routes week 1 and 43% of his preseason routes. The Cardinals also just allowed 8 targets to Logan Thomas in Week 1 and have been the worst team vs TEs since the start of 2022.

Bijan Robinson Over 12 rush attempts (Mojo, Sleeper, Underdog)

This number is low purely because books did not realize Atlanta ran only 48 offensive plays in Week 1. The lowest number in the NFL last year was 57.5 per game meaning the Falcons should run way more plays this week. Bijan had 10 carries in Week 1 and is expected to get more work in Week 2. The Falcons want to run the ball and their increased play volume should easily get Bijan over.

Gabe Davis Over 3.0 Receptions (PrizePicks, Underdog,)

This is what we call a Gabe Davis week. He sees a 22% Target Per Route Run vs Cover 3 and 4 which the Raiders ran 72% of the time in Week 1. He sees just a 12% TPRR vs every other coverage and has a dream matchup vs either Jakorian Bennet or Marcus Perters who both ranked outside the Top 65 NFL corners in Week 1. Josh Allen also averages 28 fantasy points per game when favored by 6 points or more meaning he goes nuclear in these games and the Bills are favored by 8 points vs the Raiders. Davis also has only gone over his yardage total of 42.5 twice time in his career with 2 or less receptions. Whereas he has gone under 43 receiving yards ten times in his career with 3+ catches.

Ernest Jones Over 8.5 Tackles (Sleeper, PrizePicks, Underdog)

Ernest Jones saw a tackle on 16% of his snaps as a rookie and saw an 18% tackle rate in his first game without Bobby Wagner this year. He now plays a 49ers team that gave up 74 tackles in Week 1 and an 18% tackle efficincy from Jones would have been 13 tackles in Week 1. He now goes to play @49ers who per Ryan Noonan “Opposing teams in SF average 25.8 assists per game which is 4.2 more than league average and let a LB go over in 8 of 9 home games last year. The Rams offense will struggle to stay on the field and give their defense big opportunities to see a ton of tackles.

Tail at your own risk, but I wholeheartedly believe we have a chance to sweep again on Sunday.

More props in your inbox to come for the TWO Monday Night Football games this week.

Until that time,

Let’s keep grinding!

-Caruso