Best Thursday Night Football Props

We are SO BACK this week. I spent all weekend tweaking my process on props and how we can find valuable in beating the sportsbooks and we are about to go on an absolute HEATER.

Starting with my 5 favorite player props for Thursday Night.

Mojo Play of the Day: (code Caruso) for deposit match up to $100

Jordan Addison: First TD +1572 odds (Mojo)

Addison called the next great Vikings WR all throughout training camp then scored the first TD for the Vikings last week while averaging one of the highest yards of separation per play in the NFL at 2.9. James Bradberry is OUT which means Addison should see Avonte Maddox who was targeted 12 times last week or Josh Jobe who has 20 career snaps. Not good enough? Vikings OC Wes Phillips said Addison’s role is going to continue to expand each week which could mean even more snaps this week.

I will also give $300 to one person who tails on Mojo if this hits. Just reply to this email with a screenshot that you tailed to enter.

Other Plays I Love:

Note: Mojo has the softest lines of any book for TNF. You can take big advantage on this over any others (code Caruso if you have not yet signed up)

Jordan Addison Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (Mojo)

(See Above for all the reasons I love him this week)

Rashaad Penny Under 7.5 Rush Attempts (Mojo)

A lot of people are hyping up Penny and his line has consistently moved up all of Thursday, but people forget that Boston Scott has played in front of Penny all preseason and regular season. Kenny Gainwell, D’Andre Swift, and Scott were the ones who saw the work in Week 1 while Penny was inactive. Boston Scott also played ahead of Penny in every preseason game they played together and Eagles Head Coach said Swift would carry the load some games and that he could not leave a game ever again with just two touches. Penny will probably be the RB3 where Scott played last week on just 8 snaps. Penny over the last 3 years needed at least 40% of the snaps to see 8+ rush attempts in 8/9 times that he did it

TJ Hockenson Over 4.5 Receptions (Mojo, Sleeper)

Mojo is the only book with a line this low so take big advantage here. Hock averages 7 Receptions and 9.6 Targets with the Vikings while going over in 82% of his full games with the Vikings. The Eagles run Cover 1, 3, 4 on over 79% of their snaps and Hockenson sees a target on 24.6% of these routes compared to 20.8% Target Rate vs all other coverages. The Eagles also pressured the QB at the 2nd highest rate in the league last year which goes perfectly with Hockenson’s low 6.8 average depth of target against these coverages for when Kirk is feeling the heat.

Harrison Smith Over 5.5 Total Tackles (Underdog, PrizePicks)

Harrison Smith historically has been a great tackler and the addition of Brian Flores at DC gives Smith way more opportunities to play up at the line of scrimmage rather than at deep safety. In Week 1, he played only 27.7% deep safety and played the other 72.3% of his snaps between the box, slot and defensive line. The Eagles also gave up the SINGLE MOST tackles to DBs last year at over 24 per game and allowed 22 in Week 1 this year. The line is this low because of a few straight bad matchups and the books have not caught onto this being a dream matchup for Smith.

More Player Props for Week 2 dropping in your inbox on Saturday. Be ready!

Until that time,

Let’s keep grinding,

-Caruso