Best Props for Thursday Night Football Week 3

Whats up GRINDERS?!?!?

We are on the HEATER OF THE CENTURY on Newsletter Plays going 13-1 over the last 14 Plays…

And I am continuing to spend hours upon hours slaving away at my computer to find us the BEST POSSIBLE plays to keep winning each and every week.

Only Big Prop Promotion Tonight is on ParlayPlay

They are giving an extra $25 to anyone who places an entry with a Christian McCaffrey pick in it ONLY for first time depositors only (Use code: CARUSO so I can feed my family).

Ok, housekeeping over, time for the OFFICIAL PROPS BAYBAYYYYYYYY.

Mojo Play of the Day: Darren Waller First TD +1857

Waller has lead this team in Targets both games so far this year and has been Daniel Jones’ favorite target in every critical moment in the comeback against the Cardinals last Sunday. He has yet to score a TD this year and I love the odds for him to find the end zone early if the Giants can put a good drive together to start the game.

I will give someone $300 if this hits and they tail on Mojo. Just reply to this email sending your entry!

Other Props I Love: (Code CARUSO if you signing up on any new app)

Matt Breida Under 8.5 rush attempts (Underdog, Chalkboard)

Breida has played in 19 career games for the Giants and has 9 rush attempts one time and it was exactly 9. He is expected to be in a committee in this game and has not seen more than 9 carries since 2019. The 49ers also allowed the Steelers and Rams RBs to have just 23 total RB carries over the last two weeks. With the Giants 10 point underdogs playing a tough run defense and an uncertain committee backfield, it feels like the right time to fade Breida.

Isaiah Hodgins Over 2.5 Receptions (Sleeper, ParlayPlay)

Hodgins has at least 3 catches in 8/8 career games with 70%+ of the snaps. The 49ers also run 90% Cover 1-4 and Hodgins has a career 19% target per route run rate vs these coverages which would be the highest of any player getting significant snaps tonight. This game may have more cross wind than normal which favors lower average depth of target players and Hodgins has the lowest ADOT of any player not named Parris Campbell.

Daniel Jones Over 19.5 Completions (Sleeper, ParlayPlay)

Pass Attempts is the popular play on Twitter but Daniel Jones has missed the completions line ONCE in his whole career when he hits the over on pass attempts where he has hit completions but not pass attempts a lot more times. Daniel Jones also has a much lower ADOT as a big underdog which means more short quick passes they will need without Saquon Barkley.

Elijah Mitchell Over 29.5 Rush Yards (Sleeper, Underdog)

Mitchell has gone over in 16 of 17 career games with 5+ rush attempts and is fully expected to be more involved on a short week. Kyle Shanahan emphasized more of a RB rotation this week and the 49ers being favored by 10.5 points favors Mitchell seeing more run if they get up big. The Giants also have the 4th worst team efficiency vs the run and are allowing the 6th most rushing yards per game as a team.

Fred Warner Under 8.5 Tackles (Chalkboard)

The Giants allowed just 12 LBs to hit over this total last year and Fred Warner himself hit 9+ tackles in just 7 of his last 19 games. He has also had less tackles when the 49ers play at home hitting 9+ tackles in 2 of the last 10 home games. The Giants are expected to run much less in a game without Saquon which puts Warner’s chances at this over even lower.

As always, tail at your own risk! And good luck tonight.

More Props to come on Saturday for all of the weekend games!

Until that time,

Let’s keep grinding!

-Caruso