Best 4 Player Props for Monday Night Football Week 7

WHAT IS UP GRINDERS!?!?

Yesterday was bad. 1-5 on props is inexcusable. There is no other way to say it that it was a piss poor showing and the only thing I can do be accountable, put my head down and get back in the lab.

Super excited about our plays today and if you DO want to fade me, go ahead. Still don’t trust me? Take these Free Square Wins with any pick you take, it is free money you can’t miss out on.

Underdog has TWO Free Squares:

Lebron James Over 0.5 Points

Brock Purdy Over 0.5 Total Yards (for new users)

Sleeper has TWO Free Squares also:

Klay Thompson Over 0.5 Points

Christian McCaffrey Over 0.5 Points (for new users)

And PrizePicks has a Free Square:

Stephen Curry Over 0.5 Points

These are all easy wins you need to take advantage of. Use code CARUSO if new to any of these apps! Best way to support me so I can keep all of my content free til the end of time.

And all my betting slips today are on Pikkit. Its where I track all my bets and you can track yours from any sportsbook!

Brandon Aiyuk Over 5.0 Receptions (Underdog, PrizePicks)`

No team has allowed more catches to WRs this year than the Vikings who run mostly run Cover 2+3 and Aiyuk has a 30% Target Share this year vs these coverages and no other 49ers player is even over 20%. Deebo Samuel is OUT and Christian McCaffrey is banged up which further makes Aiyuk the clear #1 option on their offense this week. Getting him at 5.0 is also a great number for a potential push if he can not get to 6.

Kirk Cousins Over 0.5 Interceptions (Underdog, Sleeper)

Kirk has thrown a pick in 8/12 monday games including 5 straight of them. Five of Six QBs threw an INT vs SF so far. Kirk has also been bad vs Cover 3 and Cover 4 with 2 TDs and 3 INTs so far this year and this is what the 49ers run nearly 60% of the time. Any game without Justin Jefferson will be a struggle and will force Kirk to throw more in tight windows against one of the best defenses in the league

Alex Mattison Under 13 Fantasy Score (Underdog, PrizePicks, Sleeper)

This is a sneaky good spot to fade Mattison after he just saw 25 touches against the Bears which means the books had to juice his line after a great game, but Mattison has been under this number in 5 of 6 games this year if you take out his 2 total TDs. His anytime TD line tonight is +175 which means he has a 36% implied chance to score. And in three matchups against Top 12 RB defenses this year, he has yet to see more than 46 total yards and SF is also in the Top 12. Meaning a TD is likely the only way he covers and a 36% chance to score gives us great value on this line. (Best Line: Sleeper)

Josh Metellus Over 5.5 Total Tackles (Underdog, PrizePicks)

We are 5-0 on defensive props this season and Metellus is a perfect player to keep this streak going. He has AT LEAST 6 tackles in every game this year and this is a great matchup for him. The 49ers allow the 4th most tackles to safeties and allow tackles to safeties over 25% of the time which is the 2nd highest rate in the NFL. Metellus also mostly plays in the slot which means he is rarely deep and almost always lined up near the line of scrimmage.

If you want more player prop goodness, I would highly recommend the Prop Drop newsletter for more winning picks!

That is all for today! For the FIRST TIME ever, I will be sending out a TUESDAY Newsletter tomorrow for The NBA Season Opener and will be giving my NFL + NBA Props all season long!

But until that time,

LETS. KEEP. GRINDING.

-Caruso