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9 Best Player Props for Nov 9th
WHAT IS UP GRINDERS!?!?!
We have hit 9 of our last 14 Newsletter Plays! And I can not WAIT for today with some of the stuff we cooked up! I feel so great about both NFL and NBA today.
Make sure to take the plays with these deals to give you the best chance to win today (Use code CARUSO for a Free Bet up to $100 if you are new to any of these apps):
Underdog has a Free Square Today (For New Users)
Bryce Young Over 0.5 Total Yards
Sleeper has a Free Square Today (For New Users)
Bryce Young Over 0.5 Pass Yards
Chalkboard just launched ALTERNATE LINES!
The first ever DFS App to have these right on the app where you can take Steph Curry to score at least 10+ points as part of a parlay. I will be posting slips for these all season.
Every Bet I Take is Tracked on Pikkit! If you bet $100 on every play I posted this month you would be up over $800! Make sure to track all your plays here and see all of my bets the second I post them!
Now onto our Best Plays for Today Starting with:
Bryce Young Over 32.5 Pass Attempts (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
This is a PERFRCT Spot for Bryce Young. He has at least 38 pass attempts in every single road game this year. The Bears are favored to win and both games the Bears won had the opposing QBs had 51 and 45 pass attempts. Young’s LOWEST game for pass attempts this season was 31 on top of the Bears giving up 34+ total attempts in four of their last five games with the only miss at 31 attempts. Bryce Young is almost guaranteed for 30+ Attempts with a strong chance to go over.
D’Onta Foreman U 62.5 Rush Yards (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
This might be the EASIEST Play of the Season. This line is so high because the Panthers have allowed the 3rd most rush yards but they have CLAMPED RBs since their bye week holding all four RBs with 10+ attempts to less than 4 yards per carry. They held Jonathan Taylor to just 47 rush yards on 18 attempts last week and Dameon Pierce to 46 rush yards on 12 attempts the week prior. Foreman has also seen less than 50% of the rush attempts in 4/5 games this year BUT ballooned to 74% last week which is the 2nd most EVER for a RB under this coaching staff which means he is destined to go down against a fast improving run defense.
Hayden Hurst Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
Hurst plays the Bears who have allowed the 10th most receiving yards to TEs and play Cover 3 the most where Hurst has THRIVED this year. Hurst has been targeted on 25% of his routes vs Cover 3 which is the highest number among all Panthers WR/TE. This is such a low line and the little bit of extra wind and cold temperatures might force Bryce Young to keep the ball shorter and to the middle of the field which is where Hurst thrives.
DJ Moore Under 4.5 Receptions (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
The Panthers run Cover 3 at the highest rate in the NFL and DJ Moore has been AWFUL against this coverage seeing a target on just 15% of his routes which is his 2nd worst behind Cover 6 (Which Panthers run the most of any coverage besides Cover 3) where DJ Moore has seen a target on just 10% of his routes. Tyson Bagent’s completion line is just 18.5 which is his lowest number of any start this year which further makes it tougher for Moore to get to 5 receptions.
NBA Plays I Love Today:
Trae Young Under 10.0 Assists (Underdog)
ZERO Players have gone over this line against the Magic this year and only ONE player has more than 8 Asissts as the Magic as a team are allowing the 2nd least Asissts in the NBA and no player has more than 15 potential asissts against them this season makes it even harder to hit 11 Assists. This game is also in Mexico City which is a mile and a half higher than almost any city in America which means these players will run out of breath quicker leading to poor shooting and potentially less minutes for Trae Young. Too much has to go right for him to hit this over.
Giannis Antetokounmpo O 28.5 Points (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
This one is simple. Bucks are on a back to back and Giannis was ejected after just 21 minutes yesterday and should be fresh against the Pacers who allow the most points in the paint of any team in the NBA and Giannis has dominated against them in the past.
Tyrese Haliburton Under 11.5 Assists (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
No player has gone above this number vs the Bucks despite them facing two of the Top 5 Assist Leaders already this season. Haliburton is converting on 63% of his potential assists which would be the highest rate of any player in the Top 10 of Assists over the last FIVE YEARS. He is going to get close to this 11.5 line but no one has passed it and he is converting at an unsustainable rate
Frank Wagner O 5.5 3s Attempted (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
The Hawks allow the 5th most 3s attempted this year and this game is in Mexico City and the higher altitude leads to more fatigure and tired legs which means less running, less driving and more 3 point shooting. Wagner has been the main option for the Magic this year and has a solid matchup to hit this over
Damian Lillard Under 8.0 3s Attempted (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)
Dame only went over this in the game Giannis was ejected in and has been at 8 or less attempts in every other game because his usage rate is far lower with the Bucks compared to the Blazers. The Pacers also allow the LEAST 3s attempted in the NBA while allowing the most points in the paint which means they run guys off the line from shooting. The Pacers allow the 2nd most points to PGs but the 3rd least 3s made which means they just do not want to allow the deep ball at all.
That is all for now.
More plays to come for NFL+NBA tomorrow!
If you want more player prop goodness, I would highly recommend the Prop Drop newsletter for more winning picks!
Until next time,
LETS KEEP GRINDING.
-Caruso