9 Best Player Props for Nov 13th

WHAT IS UP GRINDERS!!?!?!

We are coming off a MONSTER 5-1 Day on NFL yesterday and I love todays plays even more than yesterday in both NFL and NBA.

Make sure to be taking these plays with these promos to give you the best chance to win (Use Code CARUSO for a Free Bet up to $100 when joining any of these apps)

Underdog has a FREE SQUARE:

Josh Allen Over 0.5 Total Yards

Sleeper has a FREE SQUARE:

Josh Allen Over 0.5 Pass Yards

Chalkboard has TWO Huge Payout Boosts on NBA:

Kristaps Porzingis Over 17.5 Points

Jaylen Brown Over 21.5 Points

Now onto our plays of the day starting with:

Dalton Kincaid Over 5.0 Receptions (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

Kincaid might go NUCLEAR tonight as he has dominated defenses similar to the Broncos who run Cover 3 by far the most and Kincaid has seen a target on 26% of his routes vs this coverage which is the 2nd highest on the Bills behind only Diggs. The Broncos are the 2nd worst team vs TEs this year and Are allowing the 8th most receptions and the 3rd highest catch rate to TEs in addition to Kincaid getting targeted EVEN MORE when Dawson Knox is off the field and Knox is on IR which makes this a dynamite spot for Knox.

Jaleel McLaughlin Under 28.5 Rush + Rec Yards (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

McLaughlin has gone DOWN in usage every single week with Javonte Williams back. His Snaps in Week 8/9 dropped to 18% then 11% and he has the only been in on 13% routes in both those games and was targeted on 50% and 75% of his snaps in those games which is completely unsustainable. There is also a chance he doesn’t play at all this game and the Broncos cut this down into just a two man backfield which leaves him at BEST the #3 RB seeing unsustainable efficiency that is worth the risk to fade him completely today.

Russell Wilson Over 29.5 Pass Attempts (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

Each of the last 6 QBs to play the Bills have covered this and the 7th was Sam Howell who had 29 in a 37-3 blow out loss. This has been an auto lock for every QB against the Bills this year and even Russ is going to smash this tonight.

Josh Allen Over 23.5 Fantasy Score (Underdog, Sleeper)

This is a PERFECT spot for Josh Allen to go off. He averages nearly 30 Fantasy Points per Game when favored by 6 or more points and the Bills are favored by 7 points in this game. He also averages 26 Fantasy Points per Game in home wins covering in 9/11 and he has gone over in six of his last seven primetime games. The Broncos allow the 7th most fantasy points to QBs and Josh Allen has thrown for 2+ TDs in eight straight games of being favored by a TD or more.

Brook Lopez Over 15.5 Pts + Reb (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

This is the BEST Play for NBA today. Lopez has hit 16+ PR every single game against Nikola Vucevic on the Bulls and he has at least 20 PR in six of seven of these games over the last three seasons. The Bulls are also allowing the 9th most points to Centers and the 10th most rebounds to centers. Take it one step further Lopez has AT LEAST 24 PR in 5/7 games vs Vuc on the Bulls in addition to covering this number every single game and Lopez has not missed this number in three straight games since December 11th, 2022. He is due for a big game

Julius Randle Over 16.5 FGs Attempted (Underdog)

This is a PERFECT spot for Julius Randle. He has AT LEAST 19 FGA in nine of his last ten games against the Celtics and is averaging 21 FGA vs the Celtics when playing with Jalen Brunson. But it gets CRAZIER when Randle is on exactly 2 Days of Rest. He has 18+ FGA in 13/14 of these games when playing at least 32 minutes and his lowest played against the Celtics is 34 minutes in those last ten games. Randle loves shooting big against them and should easily cover this tonight. This line is ONLY available on Underdog (code CARUSO if you’re new).

DeMar DeRozan Over 21.5 Points (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

DeRozan DOMINATES against the Bucks with Giannis. He has 22+ Points in 12/13 games and took it to a NEW LEVEL once he came to the Bulls. In his six games vs the Bucks he has 29+ Points in 5/6 games taking at least 23 shots in every single games but one where he had 18 shots and 18 free throws. DeRozan must really hate Giannis because he takes things to a new level every single time they play against each other and will probably do it again tonight coming off a 29 point game.

Daniel Gafford Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

Gafford’s only issue has been foul trouble and no starting Center vs Jakob Poeltl has more than 2 fouls. Gafford has covered this line in 26/28 games with Kyle Kuzma when playing 22 or more minutes and should see this easily tonight.

Derrick White Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (Underdog, Sleeper, Chalkboard)

White has covered almost every game against the Knicks with the Celtics and saw less than a 10% usage rate last game and in his career that almost always sees a big spike to over 15% the next game which has given White a much better chance to cover this line that is so low because of a poor last game.

More plays to come for NFL+NBA tomorrow!

If you want more player prop goodness, I would highly recommend the Prop Drop newsletter for more winning picks!

Until next time,

LETS KEEP GRINDING.

-Caruso