6 Best Player Props for 10/26

WHAT IS UP Grinders!?!?!?

We are coming off a 3-1 Day Yesterday and we were 1 single PRA from Kyle Kuzma to get an NBA Sweep.

And today is the FIRST Double Day of NFL+NBA.

And you should be taking all of these plays with these fire promos for tonight:

Underdog has a Free Square:

Josh Allen Over 0.5 Total Yards (for new users)

Sleeper has a Free Square and a Discount:

Josh Allen Over 0.5 Pass Yards (for new users)

Stefon Diggs 85.5 to 65.5 Receiving Yards

Chalkboard has THREE Big Discounts:

Josh Allen 263.5 to 250.5 Pass Yards

Rachaad White 46.5 to 39.5 Rush Yards

James Cook 50.5 to 45.5 Rush Yards

All of my bet slips are tracked on Pikkit (where I track all my bets across every book).

And now onto the plays for day starting with the:

Play of the Day: Mike Evans 56.5 Receiving Yards (Chalkboard, Sleeper, Underdog, PrizePicks)

In the three weeks since Tredavious White went down, the Bills allowed 2 Jaguars WR go for 75+ Rec Yards, 2 Giants WRs to go for 60+ Rec Yards and Kendrick Bourne for the Patriots also surpasses this line last week meaning 5 WRs in 3 games past this number. Mike Evans also sees the highest target rate on the Bucs vs the Bills main coverages with nearly 40% of the teams air yards. The Bills have the toughest slot corner in the league in Taron Johnson and Mike Evans plays the least slot percentage of any starting Bucs WR leaving him to destriy the outside corners. They are also 9 point underdogs meaning they could be trailing the majority of the game which makes this a dynamite spot for Evans. He has also gone over 56.5 in 8 of his last 9 games as an underdog of a TD or more per Fansure NFL.

Josh Allen Over 21.05 Fantasy Score ( Sleeper, Underdog, PrizePicks)

Josh Allen averages nearly 30 Fantasy Points per Game when favored by 6 or more points and the Bills are favored by 9 points in this game. He also averages 25.5 Fantasy Points per Game in home wins covering in 8/10 and in his last four Thursday Night Games he scored 28+ Fantasy Points in 3 of 4. The Bucs Pass Defense vs QBs also looks tougher than it is facing Derek Carr, Justin Fields, Desmond Ridder and the Bills are coming off two extremely disappointing performances meaning a get right game is due and Tampa is the perfect team to let it happen too. This Tampa team has also only allowed 2 Rush TDs to RBs all season which further helps Josh Allen by a part of every TD scored on top of throwing for 2+ Pass TDs in seven straight games of being favored by a TD or more.

Dalton Kincaid Over 4.0 Receptions (Chalkboard, Sleeper, Underdog, PrizePicks)

Full Credit to DrProfit for finding this insane play. Here is an excerpt from what he wrote “The Bucs mainly run Cover 2 and 3 and Kincaid has a 43% target rate vs Cover 2 and 23% target rate vs Cover 3. Dawson Knox is also out and Kincaid’s target rate goes from 16% to 19% with him off the field”. DP also noted every TE to play significant snaps against the Bucs hit 4+ receptions which gives us good push potential with a great chance to cover. And even other Bills like Stefon Diggs have lower target rates vs the Bucs main coverages than they do vs others which further gives Kincaid a better chance to see more volume.

Rachaad White Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (Chalkboard, Sleeper, Underdog, PrizePicks)

White averages a 20%+ target rate vs the Bills main coverages and has 3+ receptions in every game since Week 1. The Bills have allowed the 6th most receiving yards to RBs and the 3rd highest yards per reception meaning RBs put up some yards when they do get the ball in the passing game. White has only missed this line twice all year and it was to the Vikings and Lions who are the #1 and #6 TOUGHEST defenses for RBs in the passing game. In a trailing game script, this favors White to see significant work after running a route on 70%+ of the Bucs pass attempts in every game except Week 1.

NBA Plays:

Tyrese Maxey Over 16.5 Field Goal Attempts (Underdog, PrizePicks)

Tyrese Maxey played in 11 games without Harden last year and covered 10/11 games and the only game he missed was at exactly 16 FG Attempts. Milwaukee allowed the 2nd most FGs per game last year and Maxey should take another leap this year. Lots of people have Maxey bets in the community and I sorted through every single one and FG Attempts has to be the best bet you can place on him.

Jusuf Nurkic Over 8.5 Rebounds (Chalkboard, Sleeper, Underdog, PrizePicks)

Nurkic hit this in 12 of his last 14 games with 28+ minutes and he saw 20 rebounding opportunities in his first game for the Suns which was expected with a small lineup without many rebounders. And now he plays the Lakers who allowed 27 and 21 rebounding chances to Nikola Jokic and Michael Porter in their first game of the season which was the 1st and 8th most rebounding chances allowed to any players so far through 2 days of NBA games. The Suns do not have many great rebounders and Nurkic playing a team who just allowed INSANE Rebound chances gives us a great shot to cover.

That is all for today! Keep an eye on my Twitter @AlexCaruso as I may drop one or two more NBA plays (just in case).

If you want more player prop goodness, I would highly recommend the Prop Drop newsletter for more winning picks!

Until next time,

LETS. KEEP. GRINDING.

-Caruso